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Pachter Says Nintendo’s Wii U Numbers Are Unrealistic And Disappointing

Industry analyst Michael Pachter has looked at todays financial reports that were provided by Nintendo and unsurprisingly he doesn’t agree with them. Pachter says that the projected Wii U hardware figures were disappointing and that the Wii U software guidance is simply unrealistic.

“Nintendo has guided to Wii U hardware sales of only 5.5 million units in FY:13, below the 6 – 7 million that we had previously expected. In addition, guidance for 24 million Wii U software units in FY:13 implies an attach rate of over four games, which we view as highly unrealistic given pricing and release slate. Wii U will fight for holiday wallet share with the existing consoles (which have the bulk of their most compelling releases in the December quarter), Amazon’s Kindle Fire HD, and Apple’s iPad Mini, among a slew of other devices.”

“The launch schedule is better than we had initially expected, with notable launch day titles including Activision Blizzard’s Call of Duty: Black Ops II, EA Sports’ FIFA Soccer 13, Nintendo’s New Super Mario Bros. U and Nintendo Land, and Ubisoft’s Assassin’s Creed III and ZombiU. However, demand will probably wane once Nintendo’s core fan base has purchased the first 5 – 6 million units, negatively impacting long-term hardware and software sales as well.”

125 thoughts on “Pachter Says Nintendo’s Wii U Numbers Are Unrealistic And Disappointing”

  1. The ultimate subjects that Nintendo failed to touch on that are killing the Wii U are advertising and the lack of news of its online system.

        1. Don’t call the dude a fool. This is the first time that I’ve seen a user by the name of Aeolus actually state a reasonable fact, and I agree with em. Like Scott, it’s not killing the Wii U but it is hindering the system that no one knows about the online and the fact that it’s adverts are lack luster (“PEW PEW PEW” keeps coming to mind when I think of UK’s advert..)

          1. If that’s the first time you’ve ever seen a user by the name of Aeolus post a reasonable fact you can’t be a regular visitor of this site. Or you’re just an ignorant fanboy. Some of the Aeuloses does actually post really good facts.

        2. Unfortunately, I also agree with him. We still have yet to see a string advertisement. While they’re safe in Japan, specially because of the brand and the amount of core gamers, in the entire world (including Japan) there’s a lack of advertisement and news on internet. All we have are rumors, and most of them only say things we’re not pleased to hear, such as the Miiverse not being included at day one (And we haven’t heard any official words regarding this, yet).

    1. They’ve got a month. Apple also hasn’t advertised a ton on their iPad Mini, and yet it’s being released in December. I bet half of The New iPads just got thrown out because they’re too old.

          1. For whatever reason, a large number of people are totally cool with throwing down console calibur money every year for a device that mostly only does everything their current device does now, just slightly better.

            Itd be interesting to see, but i doubt the sleek apple product mentality can translate to a stationary device that you cant pull out of your pocket whenever you feel the need to share your social status/allegiance with strangers

            I do a lot of work on a macmini, and i love it, imovie and logic, to pieces, but no one seems to care about anything but the portable stuff.

            Hell, they openly gave snowleopard away on a 2 dollar update disc and next to no one even knows what that is, much less why thats pretty cool.

            As savvy and hip as the public iphone owner likes to think they are, theyre still rocking windows machines and have no idea what a control click is. Not that theres anything wrong with that, cuz i suck, personally, but its the apple handhelds that people go gaga for and i dont see that lasting that much longer, honestly.

          2. They’ve already tried making a console: the apple pippin. It was a commercial failure, wiki it if u want to find out about, but at this point in time it seems plausible. However, apple’s current market for gaming is basically arcade type-like gaming, so the huge apple community (and appstore developers) would either have to adjust to the console-style games, which would definitely limit the existing fanbase. With major third party support, they could maybe be successful. Only time will tell.

  2. This website is disgustingly volatile and offputting. Why would I want to join a discussion full of trolls and children who just learned how to swear. No presents any educated arguments; they just bitch about pachter, talk about fucking your mom, and yell about how wrong any sort of negative nintendo comments are.

    1. Mmmmmmmmmmmm , you do know patcher is always SO wrong about Nintendo that he has turned Himself into the Number 1 ”Anti Nintendo” Figure (followed closely by Aeolus..)

      People have a right to disregard His opinion and Estimates as complete Bull shit cus 75% of the time they are……

      1. OH EM GEE! YOUR AVATAR IS THE GREATEST!!! :D

        I think you know how much I absolutely love PSO on the GC, so it shouldn’t come to a surprise to you when I say that. We should share Nintendo Network IDs when the service becomes available on the Wii U/Nintendo 3DS later this year, lol XD

        1. BEST GAME EVER!!!!! it’s one of my favorite games of all time (top 5) like my joint favorite game of all time!!!

          Do you have a 3ds friend code I will gladly share that until wiiu comes out!!

          1. Gonna upgrade to a Nintendo 3DS XL sometime over the weekend, so I will get it to you after I am finished setting it up. I won’t be getting any games for it yet since I wanted to play Nintendo Land and New Super Mario Bros. U on the Wii U before I buy a game for it. :3

            I do need to ask for Christmas presents, so the only ones I can think of would probably be Paper Mario: Sticker Star and Mario Kart 7. Can’t wait to hang out with you on Miiverse! ^_^

      1. What about Sony and Micro? They are also among the worst because they are the most arrogant and bitch when they don’t get exclusive content on their system..like the Bayonetta 2 announcement, major bitching because it’s not multiplatform.

    2. im glad there are more educated swearers like you in the world. also you missed the word “one” in between “no” and “presents”

      1. I don’t think we will see any wii u stuff… The status said that it will focus on 3ds games that are coming this holiday season and some that are coming next year

  3. Yet you never commented on the ridiculous sales forecast Sony gave for the vita? The device struggled to reach 2 million worldwide in just half a year and they expect to sell another 8 million in the next half? If this guy thinks 5.5million is unrealistic for a new Nintendo console releasing just before Christmas with a 2d Mario game and a few of the biggest titles in Japan, then I don’t know what to say about this guys mental health.

  4. Okay, okay, okay… Why in the world does every Nintendo-related website have to post a news article about everything this guy says? Are they trying to get the fanbase fired up or something and start flame wars because of his lame opinions? Honestly, I think the less people pay attention to him, the better. He’s not anything special. He’s just paid to give his observations about the gaming industry and obviously many of his observations are fueled by personal bias and sensationalism to draw more publicity and business. Don’t feed the troll. Stop reporting what this guy says, he’s a cancer to the entire gaming world.

  5. “Wii U will fight for holiday wallet share with the existing consoles (which have the bulk of their most compelling releases in the December quarter), Amazon’s Kindle Fire HD, and Apple’s iPad Mini, among a slew of other devices.”

    …ummm what is next?

    “toyota has to fight for this memorial day season with existing vehicles such as Boeing 747, Lamborghini Aventador, USS Virginia class among others.”

    he is comparing apple to oranges. if it was the 3Ds ten maybe is understandable, but tablets? tablets are more related to computers than consoles. If computers have not killed consoles yet, what makes you think a tablet will?

    are you sure that Patcher is a financial analyst? so far i have not heard a proper statement from his mouth.

    and before you call me nintendo fanboy, i am being objective here. their sales do not seem unreasonable considering they are worldwide figures, not just the US, so 5.5 million units in one year is not impossible.

    1. I LMAO’d at “toyota has to fight for this memorial day season with existing vehicles such as Boeing 747, Lamborghini Aventador, USS Virginia class among others.”

      1. Hahahaha, what a bunch of fucking fanboys cant resist commenting on this..Unation you are so predictable its disgusting and SAD..

        1. And you, Sony dick rider, have no fucking brain cells. While you’re here, why the FUCK are you typing at My NINTENDO News? U mad because Sony is losing money, shutting down their development studios indefinitely, and laying off 2,000 more employees.

          1. He’s here because he’s a troll that wants to be fed, and the people here basically throw cart-fulls of food at him.

          2. You of all people should not be saying that someone has no brain cells considering you are being trolled so damn easily at the moment.

  6. I’m starting to get tired of people comlaining about Pachter. All he does is say things just to get attention. It’s not like everything he says goes.

  7. Why is he saying it’s unrealistic that people will by 4 WiiU games by, March, isnt that when Nintendo said?
    By March, if Pikmin 3 and Rayman are released, i wouldve bought about 8-9 games, not including eShop titles.
    Nintendo are right in predicting a lower amount that originally expected. If they have too much confidence, it could hit them in the face, but if the demand is higher than they expect, they can react quickly, so its good that they’ve gone for a safe number.
    As for the price, for the love of all that exists, does this guy even have a brain? Ps1, Ps2, wii, wiiu: ALL $250-300!!
    It’s THE price. It’s like they expect a $100 console to come out and be like “well thats a good deal”. Yet when MS and Sony come out with a $400-450 console next gen, nooo thats okay, because, “it just is”.

  8. i want Patcher & Aeolus BItch {(O)} hole to ram this 9Inch Blackmanba into their litte hole . oh Aelus i had fantasy of deeping in honey and slap your face with it . and ram that hole

  9. Aeolus let me know if you dont have anything to do at home with your hangs . come over and grab this 9inch blackmanba my little hole boy

  10. I stopped reading and considered his entire statement to be bullshit when he mentioned the *shudder* ipad mini *shudder*. I’m by no means an apple hater, but that thing is fuckin stupid! Steve Jobs would have never allowed that uninspired shit to taint apple’s name. I’m literally baffled they even considered to make this. Mark my words, ipad mini will bomb hard.

  11. Patcher…nothing else needs to be said about this man. The sad part is that I live with a brother who’s a total ass because he tries to be an analyst for everything that Nintendo does, and he comes out of it sounding like a clone of Patcher.

    Seriously, people like him like to give people the impression that Nintendo is doomed when it is anything but that.

    Complain about what you want, but the Wii U has a bargain price that any holiday shopper would totally melt for, it is launching with MANY AAA-titles from both Nintendo and its third-parties, and the launch window is so rich, I can’t imagine one gamer being left out of the equation during the launch window period.

    For the first time in a console launch, there are going to be games that are absolute MUST-HAVES. Why wouldn’t there be a high attach rate to coincide with that? Most “casual” shoppers, such as parents buying gifts for their kids, buy anything with Mario on it. Nintendo Land is included in the packaging, which would also count as a game as well. Then, considering that the parents want to keep with the Wii tradition, Wii Fit U is a major seller as well. So on and so forth. Not going into TOO much detail here because we all know how rich the Wii U launch is compared to any other console or portable system launch in the history of video games.

    Why do you think the Wii U preorders sold out worldwide so fast to begin with? I won’t be surprised if it becomes THE best Nintendo console ever made in terms of first-party games, third-party support, innovation that it brings to the gaming industry as a whole, and the idea of a gaming social network.

    Miiverse and the Wii U GamePad are both major selling points, and I can’t wait to see how the console will be advertised on television and across the Internet. Paired up with the Nintendo 3DS, it is going to be one heck of a major blow out this holiday season. Let’s hope we get the Pikachu-themed Nintnedo 3DS XL in time for Black Friday (in fact, that may be IGN’s upcoming announcement this Thursday) in North America.

  12. To sickr or alba,

    Also, whem I was browsing the Nintendo 3DS website to come to a final decision on whether or not to purchase a Nintendo 3DS XL, I just noticed something at this Nintendo America page for the Nintendo 3DS. It seems as if the Nintendo 3DS has had its Aqua Blue and Flame Red variations discontinued in the states due to the Nintendo 3DS XL being available in Blue and Red. My guess is that this is to avoid consumers from thinking that the Nintendo 3DS XL is the same Aqua Blue/Flame Red Nintendo 3DS variations.

    This is not a rumor. It is OFFICIAL. You can see this at the following link on Nintendo’s main site for the Nintendo 3DS: http://www.nintendo.com/3ds/buy/

    On the page, it lists the following available units for purchase:

    Nintendo 3DS
    – Midnight Purple
    – Cosmo Black
    – Pearl Pink

    Nintendo 3DS XL
    – Red
    – Blue

  13. I wouldn’t expect sales to drop off that rapidly. In one sense they will, just because the holiday season is over, but that doesn’t mean that they won’t have good, steady sales. In the long term, I’m sure they’ll be fine. You know, sense they pretty much always are.

    However, i will agree that those software sales are unrealistic. People won’t buy 3-4 games on average by march if their estimate of 5.5 for hardware is correct. Of course, if they exceed that estimate, then the 24mil for software becomes more reasonable.

    As for fighting with current consoles… technically yes it will be. But never underestimate how much people want the new thing. And at the current prices, you’d have to be a fool to buy a current gen console over the Wii U. Even the most uneducated consumer understands the difference between old tech that won’t be supported in a year or two, and new tech that will be supported for at least 5-6 years.

  14. I just pre-ordered a Wii U and so did a buddy just for Zombie U, mainly. But I did buy a 3DS as well last year. Im not a Nintendo fanboy, I just buy stuff that looks great and worth the price. So there goes this guy’s theory. I also own an Xbox and Ps3.

    Nexus 7 > iPad Mini

  15. Patcher is only right in the sense that the whole at home console market could die ! That includes all three parties

  16. Pachter needs to shut up. Pachter doesn’t know diddly squat. Wii U will be bigger than Wii and will dominate PS4 and next Xbox. Everyone will buy it. And when it does Pachter will still talk bull because he is dim witted.

    1. He’s just an analyst, it’s there job to predict (Note, I ain’t a fan of Pathcer either). And saying the Wii U will be bigger than consoles nobody knows anything about is about as “dim witted” as what he is saying.

    2. Relax he’s no different than a movie critic, a worthless piece of shit that fetches coffee for co-workers, writes crap and wastes good oxygen.

  17. Unfortunatly that guy tells the truth,Wiiu hardware is totaly a current generation console.I am dissaponted too.GPU current gen,CPU old generation and weaker that meens way too much heat,Resulation 1080p and 60 ok but not enough for a gamer.Specs are for the dick because even the xbox 360 and the ps3 have them.Graphics current gen.
    With a few words guys.wiiU is like a wii.Wii didnt have HD but a new controller,same with wiiU,it has current gen graphics and a new controller.We have been fooled enough i believe

    1. Then you are a fool who belives in that bullshit. Evidently, the Wii U is an 8th generation. And unlike the original Wii, the Wii U can do a lot of things the original and current rival consoles sorely lack. Get your facts straight.

  18. Pachter.

    Stopped reading right there.

    Maybe people would actally listen to him if he was ever – y’know – correct?

    1. WRONG.Patcher is an analyst and that’s his job!You have problem with your minds because you think that Nintendo always tells the truth.Nintendo has dissaponted the gamer since the wii.Get a life and think except if you are so stupid that you don’t even know what is a true next generation.I don’t hate Nintendo but the truth must be said

      1. Japan loves Nintendo and it has many fanboys,that’s why wii is doing very good at sells,but what about USA and Eurozone?Why mister sickr doesn’t reveal that?Anyway i’ll buy the wiiu because i want to play their franchises and the brand new starfox and zelda on HD for my first time not because wiiU will have next generation third party titles which i wanted (the most).But remember that,the wiiU is not a next gen console and you will see by the time!

          1. sonysofters think they are true gamers with overpriced graphics and 6th gen outdated inferior controllers the wii is the best console until the 18th 96 mil in one gen will not be touched unless kingtendo does it

          2. Herp derp dah I no likey yo face. Sorry pumkin you’re doing a nice job trying to be a dummy, but quite frankly you’re trying too hard. Go get a cookie and ask mamma to pop a tittie out for you.

  19. the wii is more 7th gen than the hd twins the u will be more of a 8th gen console if sonysoft launches with another 6th gen controller bottom line next gen starts on the 18th period

  20. just saw the halo commercial xfags wish they could shoot like the wiimotechuck with their gamecube controllers they should be thanking kingtendo

  21. I do partially agree. I have my doubts on 5.5 million, but I’m pretty sure they’ll sell at LEAST 3 million, if not very close to 5.5 it’s not like Nintendo will die if they don’t reach their goal.

  22. For anyone who don’t understand: Nintendo doesn’t want to be underwhelmed, that’s why they have such low numbers.

  23. He’s not saying that Nintendo has its head in the clouds by stating 5.5 million is too much. He’s saying he’s surprised that Nintendo would be so pessimistic to believe that they would sell that little units, since Pachter predicts they would sell 6 to 7 million units. Gosh, people. Calm your titties.

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