Pachter Says The Nintendo NX May Reach 30 Million Install Base

Famed video industry analysts Michael Pachter has once again shared his predictions about the forthcoming Nintendo NX. It’s not all doom and gloom as Pachter believes that the device could eventually have an install base of 30 million. He has also shook off the notion that the company would go third-party, well for the short term anyway. Here’s what he had to say on SIFTD.

“I would say modest potential that it bombs. I would give them a 60 percent chance of success, I think they are smart people, I think they have learned a lot from what they did wrong with the Wii U. Are they going to get the Wii magic back? Probably not. But if they go back to a conventional-like console, their only problem they have now is they are very late in the cycle so they’re not going to sell that many. Could they sell 30 million? Sure. They could sell enough to make a difference and make a profit. They’re not getting out of the handheld business until the sales drop to zero – three or four million a year. And that is probably five, seven or eight years out. So no, they’re not going to get out of hardware.”

Thanks, Paidenthusiast

Pachter Claims Nintendo NX “Is Doomed” Without Third Party Support

Outspoken video game industry analyst Michael Pachter believes that Nintendo’s upcoming NX platform is “doomed before it even launches” without strong third-party support. We heard earlier this year that Nintendo said that they have received “joint initiatives” from third-party developers during E3 2015. So it’s clearly something they are working out. Here’s what Pachter had to say.

“If Nintendo gets the same level of support for NX that it got for the Wii U, it’s doomed before it launches. That’s much, much more important than the price. If they get third-party support, if they make it in such a way that everyone can port every game over and the incremental cost to make if for Xbox One, PS4 and NX is $1-2 million, every game will be there. If it’s a whole different language, or requires a whole different programming scheme, or requires something to do with the GamePad where you’ve got the controller different the way Wii U works, it’s doomed. No one’s going to support it.

I think the publishers are leery of Nintendo, the third-party publishers. I think they got burned by the Wii, they were never good on the Wii, they got burned by the Wii U – especially Ubisoft. So, I think they are going to be very, very cautious. The more this thing looks like a PS4 or Xbox One I think the better it does, and, ultimately, the only people who are going to buy it are people that don’t have a PS4 or Xbox One. Or, people who have a PS4 or Xbox One, and want to play Nintendo games.

There are a lot of the latter and by the time NX comes out – assuming it comes out in 2016 – the PS4 and Xbox One will be barely halfway through saturating their potential install base. So, perhaps the NX will capture a third of that remaining market, because if you don’t have either a PS4 or Xbox One and you can play everything on PS4 or Xbox One except first-party titles, what are you giving up? You get all Nintendo first-party, and you’re giving up a handful of Microsoft and Sony first-party. So, it’s going to be back to close to a level playing field, but it really depends on third-party support.

Don’t know what they are going to do, don’t know when the NX will come, [don’t] really know what Nintendo’s got planned – we don’t know many details. I am sure we are going to see something on the NX next year, [but] I’m not sure when it’s launching. When I hear more, I reserve the right to change my mind about exactly what things are going to do and how well they’ll sell.”

Source / Via

Thanks, MasterPikachu6 for the tip.

Pachter Believes The Nintendo NX Will Cost Around $299

Everyone’s favourite video game analyst Michael Pachter has discussed the upcoming Nintendo NX platform in his latest video. During his segment he suggested that the console wouldn’t be priced higher than the PlayStation 4 or Xbox One. If it was priced higher than both it wouldn’t really sell many units, other than to hardcore Nintendo fans. Pachter also says that by the time the platform is out the PlayStation 4 and Xbox One will have substantial user bases so Nintendo needs to be competitive in its pricing. He also said that selling Wii U for $349 was a mistake that Nintendo will not repeat with the NX.

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Pachter Has Some Strong Words To Say About Nintendo’s Mobile Game Miitomo

It would’t be a Nintendo reveal without some choice words from everyone’s favourite video game analyst Michael Pachter. This time he has weighed in on Nintendo’s first mobile title Miitomo which is coming next March on mobile platforms. Pachter clearly isn’t impressed about what’s been revealed so far.

“I think this is a disaster. This is not a game. It’s a social network concept. Facebook is a robust social network. I don’t need Nintendo to give me a cartoon version of myself that allows me to interact with my friends. …Facebook already dominates everybody who has social interactions. How the hell is Nintendo going to substitute for that? My friends who care know what I’m interested in—and the ones who don’t know aren’t interested. I think a lot of the appeal of the concept that Nintendo was going to enter the mobile market was attributable to a misperception that Nintendo would take its library of content and move it onto the mobile platform. It doesn’t look like they have any intention of doing that.”

Source / Via

Thanks, MasterPikachu6

Pachter: “Nintendo Has No Chance To Be Successful In Consoles This Holiday”

Everyone’s favourite video game industry analyst Michael Pachter has given his two cents about what to expect from the industry this holiday season. He believes that the PlayStation 4 price cut won’t really make much difference at all and if Microsoft wants to beat Sony then they will need a price cut for the Xbox One. His analysis of Nintendo’s chances this Christmas appear to be pretty bleak.

“Nintendo has no chance to be successful in consoles this holiday,”

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Pachter Says Nintendo Should Continue Making Hardware

If anyone divides opinion it is outspoken analyst Michael Pachter. In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Patcher discussed Nintendo’s recent financial results for the first quarter of 2015. The results given by the Kyoto based company beat overall market expectations. While Pachter criticised sales of the Wii U and the Nintendo 3DS and compared them against Xbox One, PlayStation 4 and smartphones, he said that Nintendo should continue making hardware if it continues to turn a profit, which at the end of the day is the most important thing.

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Thanks, Gamer1000

Pachter Says ‘Nintendo Still In Denial About Failure Of Wii U’

Outspoken industry analyst Michael Pachter is back again and this time Game informer caught up with him to talk all things video games. Pachter says that the Wii U is trailing far behind the Xbox One and the PlayStation 4 and is in desperate need of a price cut to remain in the competition. He also doesn’t think that third-party developers will come back to Nintendo in the near future.

“I think that they are not a particularly introspective bunch. I think that they are still in denial about the Wii U failure. You keep seeing this stat so we’re up 82 percent – yeah, 40,000 units went to 70,000 units. Who cares? You’re still trailing the other guys by a mile.”

“They need a new console that’s competitive with Xbox One and PlayStation 4. If Xbox can sell at $349 Nintendo could make it and sell for $249. They won’t because they still live in that old console world where they think they need to make a profit on the hardware. That means if they make a competitive console it would be more expensive.”

“The problem is I think they did a bad job with third parties with the Wii and they’ve done an abysmal job with third parties with the Wii U, so I don’t think third parties would come back for a new console. If they come out with a new console and it is essentially identical programming language with the Xbox so the cost to port a game is zero, I’m still skeptical that third parties would support it. They possibly would, but only if the cost was so low. And that’s the problem. Ubisoft got really burned on the Wii U making dedicated titles like ZombiU. Activision stopped making Call of Duty for the Wii U, and EA hasn’t ever made a game for the Wii U. I don’t think they come back.”

Thanks, Nintendo Elite Commander Quadraxis