Bloomberg reporter Takashi Mochizuki is reporting that based on supply chain data and display shipment data Nintendo could easily produce over ten million Nintendo Switch 2 systems in the initial fiscal year. This clashes with the Xbox Series X and PlayStation 5 launches which saw both Sony and Microsoft struggle to get enough consoles into shops, making them incredibly hard to come by during the launch period unless they were pre-ordered. Nintendo has yet to announce a successor to the popular Nintendo Switch console.
Display shipment data suggests Nintendo would make 10M+ Switch 2’s in initial FY
I hope they’re right that this will be easier to find. 10 million doesn’t necessarily sound like enough to me given I expect demand for this console to be potentially colossal. I’ll certainly be taking nothing for granted in my attempts to get my hands on one.
Depends on launch timing. 10M-15M is not crazy for a full year, but if it launches in the fall the first “Fiscal Year” is only through March, so like half a calendar year on shelves.
The demand will depend a lot on how big an upgrade this is. If it’s an Apple-style “We made the screen a little bigger and the case a little thinner” deal, then it’ll probably sell just a little better than the current Switch OLED. If it’s more like a whole new console with some amazing launch titles that’ll show off its significant new capabilities, then it might fly off the shelves like the original Switch did.