Nintendo

Michael Pachter Shares His Predictions For 2017

Famed but controversial video game analyst Micheal Pachter has published his predictions for next year. It’s going to be a bumper year in 2017 with two huge hardware releases – the Nintendo Switch and the Xbox Scorpio. Read on to find out what he thinks will happen.

1.) PS4 price goes to $199. I think Sony is intent upon keeping Microsoft in distant second, and expect a price cut for standard PS4 (slim) to $199 before year-end 2017.

2.) No Rockstar games other than Red Dead Redemption. Rockstar hasn’t released a “new” game since 2013, and Red Dead will consume all of its efforts in 2017.

3.) Call of Duty returns to glory with a Modern Warfare title from Sledgehammer. Although I think that they want to establish the Advanced Warfare brand as a franchise, the relatively poor performance of Infinite Warfare suggests to me that Activision has to get its act together and bring fans back into the fold.

4.) Super Mario Run is a huge hit out of the gate, and interest peters out by June. Notwithstanding the brand’s popularity, Nintendo is making a strategic error with its “free-to-start” business model, and I expect sales to drop off relatively quickly.

5.) Pokemon Go drops out of the top 10 in every country with a population greater than 20 million. The game was fun, but there’s only so many Pokemon to capture.

6.) The Switch is sold out through September. The console looks fun, the price appears to be right, and I expect demand to be high. If there is a lot of third-party support (games, not merely labels), I think demand remains high.

7.) The Xbox Scorpio is priced at $399. This might not be low enough, particularly if PS4 Pro drops before holiday 2017, but Microsoft has to price competitively or fall farther behind.

8.) The next Elder Scrolls installment comes out, the next Half Life installment does not. I think Bethesda is close, and think that Valve is not. However, I’d like to be half wrong on this one.

Source / Via

58 comments

  1. ||High Command will unleash the second generation of Pokemon for the mobile tool around Q2 you insignificant creature…||

    ||Not to mention the new mobile tools that will be announced around the same time, perhapds earlier…||

      1. ||Only you are implying that I’m trying to be funny, I have no use for such useless feature…||

  2. My hope for 2017 is that people will stop listening to this man, he is terrible at his job and has never got anything right. Elder scrolls in 2017? Besedsa said that the game isnt even in dev yet. Ps4 lowering to 200? Laughable.

    1. That’s what I was thinking. A new elder scrolls? Unlikely, they even confirmed it wasn’t being worked on yet, unless they lied

      1. The game would take 3-5 years of development and you think they haven’t even started development? On their largest IP? Of course they have and they are nearly finished. They like to suprise their fans over at Bethesda and keep everything tight lipped. We’ll see it at E3.

    2. Of course the next Elder Scrolls is in development. And it’s almost complete. They don’t have to confirm development on their biggest IP. Bethesda has two great hits, Fallout and Elder Scrolls. They are always working on both games. This is one thing I agree with Pachtet on. Elder Scrolls in 2017.

      1. I guess we will see. I’m thinking they will focus on prey for 2017, however they may announce the next elder scrolls at E3

  3. I can’t believe he’s being positive towards Nintendo for a change. This indeed a surprise to see him saying the Switch will be sold out within it’s first seven months on the market but to be fair he did say a few months ago that if Nintendo gets the pricing right with the Switch that it will likely be a big success. Pachter may be a moron most of the times but he seems to see something in the Switch that has him confident about its stance

    1. I don’t know about you, Paid… but Positive Pachter has freaking me the hell out! Anyways, I find it an excellent sign for the Big N. As long as them and NVIDIA (and The Khronos Group) play their cards right, we’ll be looking at a brighter future.

        1. Fanboy your fucking ass somewhere else, thelulzychokeartist. You’re already not getting jack shit for Christmas.

    2. It will be sold out due to lack of availability. Have you not caught on to nintendo’s marketing strategy yet?

  4. Can you guys find a new analyst to parade around on this site? He’s already shown that he’s just trying to bait people in with his very obviously false predictions. Are the clicks just too good to leave him alone?

  5. He is right about Half-Life 3 not coming out, it won’t come out for pcmasterrace, ps4/pro, x-bone/Scorpio but it will come out exclusively on Switch, it came from a reputable source that works closely with Valve and happens to be related to someone at Nintendo which I happen to be related to.

  6. The fact that Pachter is bullish on the Switch is almost enough to make me write off the Switch on its own. I can’t think of another analyst that so consistent has his head lodged in his posterior.

  7. Hating on the man for doing his job. I know people hate on him for personal reasons, but come on, he’s just a human doing what we all do. Obviously he’s not going anywhere and neither are his opinions of what he lives and sees everyday.

    Personally, I love these types of news articles. I’ll take this over a lot of the other lesser one’s any day.

    Here we go!
    1. Cool, but still not buying one.
    2. I’m still enjoying GTA5 so yeah, no rush.
    3. While I love these games for the story, majority of the newer games are weak as hell.
    4. 100% agree.
    5. Pokemon Blue version for life.
    6. Until Ninty drops the bomb, this is all just piss in the wind.
    7. Elder Scrolls? Bring it on, meh at Half Life.

  8. Switch will be “in demand” because there will be an unforseen “shortage”. It’s Nintendonts schtick, it’s what they do. Lame. I’m glad Breath of the Wild is coming out on WiiU. That way when they release the next Zelda game on the Switch and whatever console comes next I will be able to get a Switch for dirt cheap. If there isn’t still a Switch shortage of them in 7 years. Kinda like the 3ds shortage going on now. That thing has been out for years…

    1. ||I’ve never once stood by its side though regardless of what it said about Nintendo, it is an enemy of The First Order…||

  9. My predictions of 2017:
    1. Nintendo relases the Switch.
    2. Zelda relased in the Switch.
    3. Mario relased in the Switch.
    4. Wii U games ported to Nintendo Switch.
    5. The Switch will be console and handheld.
    6. More shortages of the NES mini.
    7. More games will be anounced in january 12.

  10. He-He likes the Switch now?!? Yeah right! You’re just wanting to prove we were wrong! WRONG PACTHER! YOU’RE GONNA BE WRONG, YOU IWATA DISRESPECTING JERK! I HOPE YOU HAVE LOTS OF NIGHTMARES OF NINTENDO DOMINATING THE GAMING INDUSTRY, PUKETHER!

  11. Geez, you guys need to chill out. His point about Iwata was that it would be good for Nintendo. Not that he was necessarily joyful about a human being’s death. And to be fair, he was perfectly right on that. Love Iwata or not, he did not lead Nintendo down a successful path in the end. He pushed Nintendo into the casual realm, he neglected the core gamer and ignored key franchises the core gamer loves, and refused to enter the 21st century by neglecting good online capabilities etc.

    As a guy and a dev… I loved him. Who wouldn’t? Even he said he had a great repore with him. But from a BUSINESS perspective, he was NOT HELPING Nintendo in the least. Sorry if the truth hurts, but Tatsumi is clearly the better man for the job. He looks like he’d beat your ass for looking at him the wrong way, but he’s going to lead Nintendo in the right direction. Which is all I really care about at the end of the day.

  12. And furthermore, while we all love to hate Patcher, he was right about the Wii U and he was right about 3rd party support. Any non-fanboy could tell that within the first six months.

    As a whole, I LOVE Nintendo. But frankly, I love old Nintendo by far the most. After the N64 generation, they started to lose that special something. And as someone who has been waiting patiently for roughly 15-20 years, I’m so very happy to see them coming back full force. Unless you’re a Sony/MS fanboy, it’s easy to tell the Switch is going to kill it, and it’s the return of a company we all want to do well.

    If Patcher agrees, all the power to us. You all bitched when he disagreed, now you bitch when he doesn’t. You’re like Star Wars Superfans who claim they’re fans but hate everything about the new films. Chill out, enjoy your toys, and if other people agree your toys are cool SAY THANK YOU and move on with your life.

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