Bloomberg has published an interesting article about Nintendo’s dominant market share and their natural successor to the Switch dubbed the Switch 2. In the piece, analysts were interviewed to find out whether they think the next system will be a smash hit, like the current Nintendo Switch which still continues to sell plenty of units for the Japanese company. The answer, according to the two analysts interviewed, is not promising, but then again, the original Switch has been an ultra smash hit and the next iteration, if it is that, will certainly be pricier than the current system.
“We do not think the new console will be as successful as the Switch, and see potential profit-taking after the announcement,” Macquarie Group Ltd. analyst Yijia Zhai wrote in a recent report, downgrading Nintendo to neutral.
Goldman’s Munakata does not expect the Switch follow-up to increase Nintendo’s total addressable market, but says that could change if the console “turns out to be new concept hardware rather than a successor along the same lines as the Nintendo Switch.”
I think the Switch 2 might be more accurate and make it to the top like the current Switch after its first week of launch day. I’m not much of a business or sales expert, but I do understand the current Switch model has some potential left in the console market in its lifespan, but I really do like to see how much days or weeks we will have to wait for Nintendo officially announce the system. Its not like they are trolling us. They want to make sure nothing gets leak or hacked before the big surprise unlike happen to the Switch.
I think Nintendo probably knows that the Switch 2 might not sell as drastically as the Switch 1, but I know most definintely that they’re not going to repeat the same mistake like they did with the Wii U. Other than a performance boost and more capatability with AAA games, I know that Nintendo will have many reasons why their consumers should choose the Switch 2 over the original.
Also, I believe the Switch 2 will only stick around for around 5-6 years since it’ll only be more of an iteration that a revolution. In addition, around 2029, Nintendo is going to announce some sort of new system that won’t be neither a home console or a hybrid console.
This is why Nintendo will not release a switch type console with simple technical improvements, this should be understood once and for all.
The next console will surely have similarities with the switch but that will stop there, they will not make the same mistake with the wii/wii u.
Switch 2 doesn’t exist. You don’t have to have a doctorate to understand that, do you?
Will be interesting how well this post ages
Talk about easy an assumption. The Switch is currently the 3rd best selling platform of all time. It could do worse and still be very successful.
Analyst at bloomberg were also skeptical of the Nintendo Switch back in 2017 before it launched.
I expect their next console to sell at least half as much as the Switch. 70 million +
What might throw off these analysts’ predictions is an x-factor in the form an ultra-successful game or two. Which is what Switch 2 would need to become super-successful.
Either way, I predict the Switch 2 will sell decently at worst, even if it turns out to just be a simple upgrade over the original Switch.
I agree that the Switch 2 won’t be as successful as the Switch. However, I think it could have a bumper first-year – particularly in terms of software sales. Based on the winding down of Switch software production (now being limited to mostly remakes) it appears that lots of effort is being put towards Switch 2 software. Mario Kart and 3D Mario seem like the obvious series’ that are coming. If the console gets those 2 things within its first few months that’s bound to give it some momentum. I think Zelda is probably going to be getting representation in its first year too, probably either an enhanced version of TotK (which could explain lack of DLC for that game) or those long rumoured ports of WWHD and TPHD.
Who cares if it’s successful as long as it’s good? The internet insists that the Wii was somehow more “””successful””” than the Wii U, but the Wii U had Mega Man in Smash, and the Wii didn’t (granted, the Nintendo 64 and Game Cube didn’t have Mega Man in Smash, but they didn’t have any other 3rd party characters in Smash either, so they at least have an excuse), thus, the Wii U is better than the Wii. Just because something makes a lot of money, doesn’t mean it’s good. Just look at My little pony friendship is magic and the Naruto franchise. Is it hip to be stupid?
A boost in power close to PS5 + future proofing… To get AAA current gen titles not 2x old gen ports. While switch has third party support ish… It’s just bare minimum ports from the PS3 early PS4 era games.
If it comes out at PS4 levels in power it’s already dead on arrival. Steamdeck and other mobile phones and consoles are more powerful
you’re not a real rosalina fan
Even though the Steam Deck is powerful, it sold around 3 million units until this day, according to Omdia. So, power doesn’t equal sales, as an example, the Gamecube and Steam Machine didn’t sell much, even though they were one of the most powerful consoles in the market while the Wii and Switch are not considered the most powerful and sold a lot of units.
This is hilarious to think the steam deck could even compare. The steam deck cannot even compare to the switch in sales period. Ni the do sells because of its ips, price points and the fact they don’t half ass any of their games before release. They also get plenty of support. There are games being released on the PS5 and Series X and newer games release on pc today being released on the switch as it is.
The switch will release being stronger than the PS4 most definitely and will at least be as powerful as the X1X which was more powerful than the PS4 Pro yet.
As for the steam deck its software was already outdated pc wise on release and that has been its demise. The freaking thing is lucky if it has sold 5 million units as of now. So tell me what made the switch with its so bad of graphics compared to the steam deck so much better in sales each year? In two years your looking at 35+ million switch consoles sold compared to maybe 5 million steam deck.
Nintendo gots this, they will be perfectly fine.
If they can figure how to take some Wii U features and Switch 1 features and add the necessary power needed for 3rd party support Switch 2 could outsell Switch 1 If they can have a second screen, nake it as comfortable to hold as WIi U gamepad, be a remote to the TV, combine 3DS, Wii, Wii U, Switch Eshop and add GameCube Games to Eshope and can play Switch games. I’m going to love those Wii U games built off the Game pad but the Wii U could be more than 25FT away. That’s where that 100% handheld feature for.
People should stop talking about the Steamdeck. it’s cool for them to be in that discussion and for a minority of the audience it might really be a choice between Switch and Steamdeck, but in general Switch is targeting families and kids and most older players are more and more a niche. I guess Nintendo is surprised how many “core-gamers” are attracted by the Switch and will surely build on that but their main audience remains way younger. Sure, if all players above 18+ years would suddenly vanish, it would definitely hurt, but there are enough nostalgia driven players who need their Nintendo fix and the Steamdeck is just a way smaller market compared to the Switch
Nintendo isn’t targeting kids and families. That’s an assumption with zero hard evidence.